TheEEStory.com

Because signatures only allow for 255 characters, I've put all past predictions into this topic so they can be fully documented and explained.

1) Permittivity Milestone Announcement By March 2009

EEStor announced on April 22, 2009 in a press release that the permittivity had been met an exceed. On April 27, 2009 EEStor issued a correction and enhanced follow up press release.

I made this prediction late summer of 2008. This was the first and so far my best prediction. I based this "guess" on an estimated burn rate (which I later learned was pretty close). I also thought EEStor would time any news release to coincide with a date that was relevant to an important partner such as Zenn Motor Company (ZMC). ZMC's annual general meeting was March 23, 2009 which came and went but Lockheed's stock holder meeting was April 23, 2009 and in hindsight it is obvious Lockheed is much more important to EEStor's long-term goals than ZMC can ever hope to be.

I give myself a B+ on accuracy and a solid A on difficulty.

2) ZMC would announce their intention to invest the maximum amount allowed ($5 million USD) in EEStor per the Stock Purchase Agreement.

This was a no brainer as ZMC could hardly be expected to do anything else assuming ZMC's Board was still confident EEStor could deliver. ZMC did indeed announce on May 21, their intentions to exercise their option to purchase the maximum amount allowed.

I give myself an A+ for accuracy and a D- for difficulty as a nut-less monkey could have predicted this.

3) ZMC to aquire ~6.2% total ownership in EEStor

This was by far my worst prediction and so far the only one I was flat out wrong. It seems I over estimated Kleiner Perkins interest in EEStor and under estimated the difficulty Kleiner would have in purchasing common stock. I later learned many Kleiner run funds contractually prohibit the funds from owning common stock. Bottom line I whiff badly on this one.

I give my self a solid F for accuracy with a C for difficulty.

4) EEStor to be issued a new patent in 2009

I made this prediction in Oct 2009 and while predicting a patent issue date is hard, what I'm most proud of is the underlying prediction the patent would be a previously unpublished patent. While I missed by 19 days on the patent issue date, I was right about the patent application never being published. This is a big deal as all the remaining patents are likely to follow the same process of emerging as fully issued patents.

I give myself a B+ on accuracy with a B+ for difficulty.

5) component to have specific energy between 550 to 650 Wh/kg

"Still Under Construction"

I give myself an ? on accuracy with an B+ for difficulty.

6) Short volume of 163,000 (15-Feb-10) will fall to under 50,000 by 28-Feb-10

I made this prediction Feb 5th, 2010 based on some large buys from BMO who I believed was holding a large short position. At the end of the month, the short position actually rose by a small amount so I was way off.

I give myself an F on accuracy with a B for difficulty.

Of course the only really big question remaining is when will EEStor give a public demonstration of their technology. I've consulted my very best source and it says, "Answer cloudy, please ask another question." So it looks like until EEStor is ready, everyone is just going to have to wait.

Last edited Sat, 06 Mar 2010, 1:55am by tvillars